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NHL playoff watch: Bruins, Canes an East finals preview?

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Published in Hockey
Sunday, 26 March 2023 05:21

Much of what we examine in this space revolves around the races to earn a playoff spot (or the race to the bottom for the lottery teams). But let's look a little bit ahead for two teams that have already clinched their spots in the 2023 Stanley Cup playoffs.

The Boston Bruins have been on a record pace this season, securing their playoff ticket back on March 11 and the Atlantic Division title on Saturday with their 2-1 victory over the Tampa Bay Lightning. They need eight more points to clinch the Presidents' Trophy as the league's No. 1 team this season -- over the Carolina Hurricanes, who are their opponents today (5 p.m. ET, NHL Power Play on ESPN+).

Carolina has a bit more work to do to clinch its division; the New Jersey Devils are two points and one regulation win behind the Canes, although Carolina does have two games in hand.

What are the chances these two clubs will meet again in the Eastern Conference finals for a rematch of last season's epic seven-game first-round clash?

Money Puck gives the Bruins a 37.5% chance of reaching the conference finals, while the Hurricanes are at 48.3%.

The Bruins' path will begin with the second wild card, one of the New York Islanders, Pittsburgh Penguins or Florida Panthers. They have gone 3-0-0 against the Isles, 2-0-0 against the Penguins (with a game coming April 1), and 2-1-1 against the Panthers. In the second round, they'll take on the Toronto Maple Leafs (against whom they've gone 2-1-0 with a game left, on April 6) or the Lightning (3-1-0).

For the Hurricanes, they'll take on the first wild card: They went 4-0-0 against the Penguins this season, 2-1-0 against the Isles (with a game left, on April 2), and 1-1-0 against the Panthers (with one game left, on April 13). Round 2 will be more difficult, as they've gone 2-2-0 against the Devils and 1-3-0 against the New York Rangers.

Oh, and heading into the showdown this afternoon, the B's and Canes have each won one game in the season series.

As we enter the final stretch of the regular season, it's time to check all the playoff races -- along with the teams jockeying for position in the 2023 NHL draft lottery.

Note: Playoff chances are via FiveThirtyEight.

Jump ahead:
Current playoff matchups
Today's games
Last night's scores
Expanded standings
Race for No. 1 pick

Current playoff matchups

Eastern Conference

A1 Boston Bruins vs. WC2 Pittsburgh Penguins
A2 Toronto Maple Leafs vs. A3 Tampa Bay Lightning
M1 Carolina Hurricanes vs. WC1 New York Islanders
M2 New Jersey Devils vs. M3 New York Rangers

Western Conference

C1 Minnesota Wild vs. WC1 Seattle Kraken
C2 Dallas Stars vs. C3 Colorado Avalanche
P1 Vegas Golden Knights vs. WC2 Winnipeg Jets
P2 Los Angeles Kings vs. P3 Edmonton Oilers


Sunday's games

Note: All times Eastern. All games not on ESPN, TNT or NHL Network are available via NHL Power Play, which is included in an ESPN+ subscription (local blackout restrictions apply).

Colorado Avalanche at Arizona Coyotes, 3 p.m. (NHLN)
Boston Bruins at Carolina Hurricanes, 5 p.m.
Vancouver Canucks at Chicago Blackhawks, 6 p.m.
Toronto Maple Leafs at Nashville Predators, 6 p.m. (NHLN)
St. Louis Blues at Los Angeles Kings, 10:30 p.m.


Saturday's scoreboard

Watch "In the Crease" on ESPN+ for highlights from every game.

Boston Bruins 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 1
Philadelphia Flyers 3, Detroit Red Wings 0
Seattle Kraken 7, Nashville Predators 2
Calgary Flames 5, San Jose Sharks 3
Los Angeles Kings 4, Winnipeg Jets 1
New York Rangers 4, Florida Panthers 3
Minnesota Wild 3, Chicago Blackhawks 1
Buffalo Sabres 2, New York Islanders 0
Carolina Hurricanes 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Vancouver Canucks 3, Dallas Stars 1
Montreal Canadiens 8, Columbus Blue Jackets 2
New Jersey Devils 5, Ottawa Senators 3
Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Washington Capitals 3
Vegas Golden Knights 4, Edmonton Oilers 3 (OT)
St. Louis Blues 6, Anaheim Ducks 3


Expanded standings

Atlantic Division

y - Boston Bruins

Points: 117
Regulation wins: 49
Playoff position: A1
Games left: 10
Points pace: 133
Next game: @ CAR (Sunday)
Playoff chances: 100%
Tragic number: N/A

Toronto Maple Leafs

Points: 95
Regulation wins: 36
Playoff position: A2
Games left: 10
Points pace: 108
Next game: @ NSH (Sunday)
Playoff chances: >99%
Tragic number: N/A

Tampa Bay Lightning

Points: 90
Regulation wins: 34
Playoff position: A3
Games left: 8
Points pace: 100
Next game: @ CAR (Tuesday)
Playoff chances: >99%
Tragic number: N/A

Florida Panthers

Points: 79
Regulation wins: 31
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 9
Points pace: 89
Next game: @ OTT (Monday)
Playoff chances: 37%
Tragic number: 16

Buffalo Sabres

Points: 76
Regulation wins: 27
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 10
Points pace: 87
Next game: vs. MTL (Monday)
Playoff chances: 7%
Tragic number: 15

Ottawa Senators

Points: 75
Regulation wins: 28
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 9
Points pace: 84
Next game: vs. FLA (Monday)
Playoff chances: 2%
Tragic number: 12

Detroit Red Wings

Points: 71
Regulation wins: 24
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 10
Points pace: 81
Next game: vs. PIT (Tuesday)
Playoff chances: 1%
Tragic number: 10

Montreal Canadiens

Points: 64
Regulation wins: 20
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 9
Points pace: 72
Next game: @ BUF (Monday)
Playoff chances: 1%
Tragic number: 1


Metropolitan Division

x - Carolina Hurricanes

Points: 102
Regulation wins: 35
Playoff position: M1
Games left: 11
Points pace: 118
Next game: vs. BOS (Sunday)
Playoff chances: 100%
Tragic number: N/A

x - New Jersey Devils

Points: 100
Regulation wins: 34
Playoff position: M2
Games left: 9
Points pace: 112
Next game: @ NYI (Monday)
Playoff chances: 100%
Tragic number: N/A

New York Rangers

Points: 96
Regulation wins: 33
Playoff position: M3
Games left: 9
Points pace: 108
Next game: vs. CBJ (Tuesday)
Playoff chances: >99%
Tragic number: N/A

New York Islanders

Points: 83
Regulation wins: 32
Playoff position: WC1
Games left: 8
Points pace: 92
Next game: vs. NJ (Monday)
Playoff chances: 74%
Tragic number: N/A

Pittsburgh Penguins

Points: 82
Regulation wins: 27
Playoff position: WC2
Games left: 9
Points pace: 92
Next game: @ DET (Tuesday)
Playoff chances: 78%
Tragic number: N/A

Washington Capitals

Points: 76
Regulation wins: 26
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 8
Points pace: 84
Next game: vs. NYI (Wednesday)
Playoff chances: 1%
Tragic number: 11

Philadelphia Flyers

Points: 68
Regulation wins: 25
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 10
Points pace: 77
Next game: vs. MTL (Tuesday)
Playoff chances: 1%
Tragic number: 7

e - Columbus Blue Jackets

Points: 53
Regulation wins: 15
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 10
Points pace: 60
Next game: @ NYR (Tuesday)
Playoff chances: 0%
Tragic number: E


Central Division

Minnesota Wild

Points: 93
Regulation wins: 30
Playoff position: C1
Games left: 9
Points pace: 105
Next game: vs. SEA (Monday)
Playoff chances: >99%
Tragic number: N/A

Dallas Stars

Points: 92
Regulation wins: 32
Playoff position: C2
Games left: 9
Points pace: 103
Next game: @ CHI (Tuesday)
Playoff chances: >99%
Tragic number: N/A

Colorado Avalanche

Points: 90
Regulation wins: 30
Playoff position: C3
Games left: 11
Points pace: 104
Next game: @ ARI (Sunday)
Playoff chances: >99%
Tragic number: N/A

Winnipeg Jets

Points: 85
Regulation wins: 31
Playoff position: WC2
Games left: 8
Points pace: 94
Next game: @ SJ (Tuesday)
Playoff chances: 74%
Tragic number: N/A

Nashville Predators

Points: 80
Regulation wins: 26
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 11
Points pace: 92
Next game: vs. TOR (Sunday)
Playoff chances: 15%
Tragic number: 18

St. Louis Blues

Points: 72
Regulation wins: 25
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 10
Points pace: 82
Next game: @ LA (Sunday)
Playoff chances: 1%
Tragic number: 8

e - Arizona Coyotes

Points: 66
Regulation wins: 20
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 9
Points pace: 74
Next game: vs. COL (Sunday)
Playoff chances: 0%
Tragic number: E

e - Chicago Blackhawks

Points: 54
Regulation wins: 16
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 10
Points pace: 62
Next game: vs. VAN (Sunday)
Playoff chances: 0%
Tragic number: E


Pacific Division

Vegas Golden Knights

Points: 98
Regulation wins: 34
Playoff position: P1
Games left: 9
Points pace: 110
Next game: vs. EDM (Tuesday)
Playoff chances: >99%
Tragic number: N/A

Los Angeles Kings

Points: 94
Regulation wins: 32
Playoff position: P2
Games left: 10
Points pace: 107
Next game: vs. STL (Sunday)
Playoff chances: >99%
Tragic number: N/A

Edmonton Oilers

Points: 91
Regulation wins: 37
Playoff position: P3
Games left: 9
Points pace: 102
Next game: @ ARI (Monday)
Playoff chances: >99%
Tragic number: N/A

Seattle Kraken

Points: 88
Regulation wins: 31
Playoff position: WC1
Games left: 10
Points pace: 100
Next game: @ MIN (Monday)
Playoff chances: 99%
Tragic number: N/A

Calgary Flames

Points: 81
Regulation wins: 27
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 8
Points pace: 90
Next game: vs. LA (Tuesday)
Playoff chances: 12%
Tragic number: 13

Vancouver Canucks

Points: 71
Regulation wins: 21
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 10
Points pace: 81
Next game: @ CHI (Sunday)
Playoff chances: 1%
Tragic number: 7

e - Anaheim Ducks

Points: 56
Regulation wins: 13
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 9
Points pace: 63
Next game: vs. COL (Monday)
Playoff chances: 0%
Tragic number: E

e - San Jose Sharks

Points: 53
Regulation wins: 14
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 9
Points pace: 60
Next game: vs. WPG (Tuesday)
Playoff chances: 0%
Tragic number: E

Y -- Clinched division; X -- Clinched playoff berth; E -- Eliminated from playoff contention


Race for the No. 1 pick

The NHL uses a draft lottery to determine the order of the first round, so the team that finishes in last place is not guaranteed the No. 1 selection. As of 2021, a team might move up a maximum of 10 spots if it wins the lottery, so only 11 teams are eligible for the draw for the No. 1 pick. Full details on the process can be found here. Sitting No. 1 on the draft board for this summer is Connor Bedard, who has been lauded as a generational talent.

1. San Jose Sharks

Points: 53
Regulation wins: 14

2. Columbus Blue Jackets

Points: 53
Regulation wins: 15

3. Chicago Blackhawks

Points: 54
Regulation wins: 16

4. Anaheim Ducks

Points: 56
Regulation wins: 13

5. Montreal Canadiens

Points: 64
Regulation wins: 20

6. Arizona Coyotes

Points: 66
Regulation wins: 20

7. Philadelphia Flyers

Points: 68
Regulation wins: 25

8. Vancouver Canucks

Points: 71
Regulation wins: 21

9. Detroit Red Wings

Points: 71
Regulation wins: 24

10. St. Louis Blues

Points: 72
Regulation wins: 25

11. Ottawa Senators

Points: 75
Regulation wins: 28

12. Washington Capitals

Points: 76
Regulation wins: 26

13. Buffalo Sabres

Points: 76
Regulation wins: 27

14. Florida Panthers*

Points: 79
Regulation wins: 31

15. Nashville Predators

Points: 80
Regulation wins: 26

16. Calgary Flames

Points: 81
Regulation wins: 27

*Notes on traded picks impacting the top 16:

  • Montreal will receive Florida's first-round pick as a result of the trade last season that sent Ben Chiarot to the Panthers.

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